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The Future of NATO and its Implications on India

Geethika writes, with Russia’s aggression and China’s assertiveness, how North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) confronts a hostile security environment.

Introduction

India is navigating its strategic interests among shifting global dynamics and NATO’s evolving role. The alliance’s presence in Indo-Pacific influences India’s security amidst US-China disputes.[i] Regional stability can only be achieved if there is collaboration between India and other nations within NATO as well as the United States concerning their defence capabilities.[ii] Long-term planners must watch out for trends so that they ensure proactive India in shaping its own future despite shifts in global landscape.

NATO’s Evolving Security Landscape

NATO stands as a firm pillar of US-Europe military operation after seventy-five years of its establishment.[iii] It was established to ensure the security and stability to its member states in case of potential threats.[iv] The security situation within NATO has only gotten more hostile since its founding years, it is now known more to be dangerous and unpredictable.[v] Russia’s aggression against Ukraine and China’s increasingly harsh domestic policies and forceful international behaviour causes serious dangers to liberty, democracy and international peace.[vi] Nonetheless, even if it is not directly involved in any conflicts, NATO has strengthened its defensive and security capabilities to prevent further escalation.

Indo-Pacific Dynamics and Indian Security

The increasing influence of NATO in the Indo-Pacific region has grown lately taking note of the area’s strategic importance and security challenges.[vii] Developments taking place in the Indo-Pacific region have a bearing on Indian security interests since there exists a direct correlation between American competitiveness with that of China.[viii] Any upsurge in hostilities or tensions between these two super powers also have unintended consequences for Indian security.[ix] The impending conflict regarding NATO engagement in the Indo-Pacific region will help India since it would lead to more communication and cooperation between the two organizations. Stronger communication could lead to a better understanding of each other’s perspectives and security concerns. This could be beneficial in addressing regional challenges.

India’s Strategic Implications

Changes in the US, China and NATO have direct and indirect implications for India. Any economic crises in America, global trade disruptions, outcome of strains in relationship with China will impact much on Indian economy.[x] Security and defence cooperation between India and the United States together with NATO allies is very crucial. The future of NATO depends on various factors including what happens in Europe and whether China becomes stronger.[xi] India needs to now define how it is going to cooperate with NATO. They may stay away, work jointly on certain issues or become a close partner to them.

Long-term Planning and Engagement

In a changing world, India is a key player. These changing trends must be understood by policy makers, scholars and stakeholders who want to successfully navigate through these issues facing modern world order. An alliance with NATO should be built on mutual respect, shared interests and commitment to uphold international norms and principles.[xii] It will help improve India’s security apparatus, defence capabilities and promote regional stability. However, India must critically examine its interactions with this entity so that there is harmony between them and conflicting national interests.


What lies ahead

India is unlikely to change its independent approach to security or its quest for strategic partnerships soon. In spite of this, long-term strategic planners must keep in mind not forget to track the progress of NATO.

Although it is unclear what will happen, India can be sure that it participates by staying alert and being responsible for its own fate as well as possible outcomes.

Endnotes:
[i] Meszaros, Krisztian. “NATO and India: Partners for a peaceful, free, and democratic world.” Observer Research Foundation, February, 2024. Accessed on May 23, 2024. https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/nato-and-india-partners-for-a-peaceful-free-and-democratic-world

[ii] ibid

[iii] Masters, Jonathan. “What Is NATO?” Council on Foreign Relations, March, 2024. Accessed on May 23 , 2024. https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/what-nato

[iv] ibid

[v] ibid

[vi] ibid

[vii] Drishti IAS. “NATO’s 75th Anniversary.” Drishti IAS. April, 2024. Accessed on May 26, 2024. https://www.drishtiias.com/daily-updates/daily-news-editorials/nato-75th-anniversary

[viii] Meszaros, Krisztian. “NATO and India: Partners for a peaceful, free, and democratic world.” Observer Research Foundation, February, 2024. Accessed on May 23, 2024. https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/nato-and-india-partners-for-a-peaceful-free-and-democratic-world

[ix] ibid

[x] Aryan, Aniket. “North Atlantic Treaty Organization(NATO) :Expansion and Implications for India.” SRIRAMs

IAS, August, 2023. Accessed on May 26, 2024. https://www.sriramsias.com/upsc-daily-current-affairs/north-atlantic-treaty-organization-nato-expansion/.

[xi] ibid

[xii] Pandya, Abhinav. “Why India should prefer cautious engagement with NATO.” USANAS Foundation, May,2023. Accessed on May 26, 2024. https://usanasfoundation.com/why-india-should-prefer-cautious-engagement-with-nato

 

By: Medisetty Geethika, Research Intern, CS3, USI

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